Is it time for Biden to step aside?
So my view as of six weeks ago was that it was probably just too late to replace Biden. But as Biden's polling gets worse — his approval ratings are near their lowest-ever number — I've been increasingly hedging on that. Democrats would be taking a huge risk by replacing Biden — but they're also taking a huge risk by nominating him. There's no getting out of this.
Silver goes on to quote an article that says Biden won't be able to do a normal campaign in 2024 due to a lack of capacity. Silver comments:
But if this is a consensus view — a widely-acknowledged truth that other people are too afraid to say, including people in the White House — then that's enough to pull me off the fence. It would be extremely foolish to nominate an 80-year-old man who is not up to the rigors of a modern presidential campaign — even more foolish than replacing him, which just to be clear is also an extremely foolish thing to do.
I tend to agree with Silver. A second trump term would be a disaster for democracy, so if the best way to stop that is Biden not standing again, that is what he should do.