1st post election poll

Auckland Council’s $45 million PR bill for 234 comms staff

The Herald reports:

Auckland ratepayers are picking up a $45.6 million tab to employ 234 communication staff at Auckland Council and five council-controlled organisations, according to a leaked review.

A “confidential draft” of the review, obtained by the Weekend Herald, has uncovered a huge blowout in communication salary costs at four council bodies.

Between 2013 and 2017, salary costs soared by 75 per cent at Auckland Council, 87 per cent at Auckland Tourism, Events and Economic Development (Ateed) and 56 per cent at Auckland Transport.

You know if maybe the Council could cope with less than 234 spin doctors, then they wouldn’t have to stick up petrol tax by 10 cents a litre to fund their activities.

According to the communications review, a previous business case to improve communications at Auckland Council in 2014 largely failed. The 2014 goal was to reduce the number of communications staff to 92. Staff numbers have increased to 105.

Out of control.

Aucklanders revolt against Taxinda

The Herald reports:

Some Auckland motorists are threatening to fill up out of town, and even leave the city, to avoid a new regional petrol tax expected to be 10c a litre.

Comments flowing into the New Zealand Herald newsdesk this morning are running heavily against the new tax, planned by the new Labour-led Government to help fund light rail to the airport and other transport projects. …’\

Readers branded new Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern “Taxinda” and named the tax the “Twyford Tax” after new Transport Minister Phil Twyford.

Tom and Julia Kinzett spoke for many in parts of the region that don’t have rail, commenting: “So again the majority are going to have to fork out for a selected few. What benefits are there for someone living in east or north Auckland?”

“I live in rural north Auckland. I have no choice but to use my car as there is no public transport,” another reader said.

Yep it is a tax on all of Auckland that will benefit just a few.

A congestion charge is a far more sensible way of funding transport – true user pays.

Foreign buyer ban unlikely to impact house prices

The Herald reports:

The Labour-led Government’s move to restrict foreign speculators from taking a chunk out of the property market is being questioned given a similar policy across the Tasman has done little to curb prices in Australia.

Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern has told members of the public a bill to stop overseas buyers from purchasing existing homes would be introduced by Christmas.

Meanwhile, those in the property industry are questioning if restricting foreign buyers was the answer to the country’s housing crisis, given Australia, which already had a similar policy in place, was one of the most unaffordable countries globally.

It’s populism trying to scapegoat people with Chinese sounding surnames for house prices. It will have little impact.

Real estate agent Ollie Wall, from Graham Wall Real Estate, said there were not as many foreign buyers snapping up properties as the public thought.

“We sell properties to a lot of what would be considered foreigners, 99 per cent of them have New Zealand passports.”

Land Information New Zealand showed that in April to June 2017, 3 per cent of property transfers involved overseas tax resident buyers.

What is really going to impact affordability is interest rates as they start to rise.

We don’t need more ministries

Radio NZ reports:

The new Labour-led government is dismantling the mega-ministry, splitting it into three parts covering forestry, fisheries and agriculture respectively.

This is a bad move, and one ironically done by National in the 1990s. National went for more smaller focused agencies but it really just lead to huge duplication of costs as each agency had their own HR, IT divisions etc. Clark’s Government correctly reversed this and started to put them back together.

I’d continue with that and be looking to merge more agencies, rather than split them up.

She singled out fisheries, saying it had faced “dysfunction” under MPI’s watch.

Greenpeace has repeatedly accused the ministry of being in thrall to the fishing industry and turning a blind eye to illegal activity.

Greenpeace NZ director Russel Norman said he hoped the change in approach would help turn that around.

“Everybody knows that the regulation of fisheries does need special attention.”

But Dr Norman, who was a former Green Party co-leader, warned it would be a massive task.

“No one should underestimate the ability of the fishing industry to influence the regulation,” he said.

“They’ve been at it for decades and decades, so they are very well experienced at any attempts to reform it.”

If that is the concern, the solution is likely to make it worse. The industry is likely to be far more influential with a stand alone fisheries ministry than with c combined Primary Industries Ministry.

Guilty of being a Republican?

Stuff reports:

A priest shouted “f… Trump” at a Peace Corps celebration party in Samoa after being rudely “shushed” by United States Ambassador Scott Brown, an attendee claims.

So the Ambassador shushed an a******e priest. The priest is the one who should apologise.

“When he was giving a speech he rudely shushed everyone … [it] was a cocktail party so it was supposed to be a fun event, and there were a lot of heads of state at the party,” she said.

“People were appalled, it felt like he was channelling [US President Donald] Trump.”

Seriously? He shushed everyone? And this requires an investigation.

The source acknowledged there was tension because a lot of the Americans who came over with the Peace Corps were Democrats, and Brown was one of the first ambassadors to be appointed by the Republican president after his inauguration in January.

Yep, I suspect he is guilty of being a Republican.

Brown had not done anything to “release the tension”,  she said.

So his crimes are shushing people and not releasing the tension!

Kiwi Barnaby a goner!

The ABC reports:

The Turnbull Government has lost its one-seat majority after the High Court ruled Deputy Prime Minister Barnaby Joyce’s election invalid because of his New Zealand citizenship.

Mr Joyce will now face a by-election. The court also found former Greens senators Scott Ludlam and Larissa Waters were not validly elected, along with One Nation’s Malcolm Roberts and Senator Fiona Nash.

Hilarious. The Government may fall as the father of the Deputy PM was a Kiwi. Joyce is likely to retain his seat in the by-election but if he doesn’t then the Government may need to call an election.

This should make Barnaby Joyce a favourite to win New Zealander of the Year.

It’s on taxpayers not Jacinda

Stuff reports:

Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern to high schoolers: Next year’s on me

Typical socialist attitude to taxpayers. It’s not on Jacinda, it is on the millions of taxpayers who are having their modest tax cuts taken away from them next year.

Most taxpayers will end up paying $1,000 more a year in tax (compared to if the legislated tax cuts went through) so that students get an even greater subsidy for their tertiary education. The average lifetime earnings gain from a degree is $1.5 million so Labour is robbing everyone to bribe students.

Geddis on waka jumping law

Andrew Geddis writes:

One of the more surprising matters included in the Labour-NZ First coalition agreement is their joint commitment to pass a ‘Waka Jumping’ Bill”. Such legislation effectively requires any MP who leaves her or his party, whether willingly or not, to also leave Parliament.

And it was a farce last time we had it:

We saw the problem with freezing representation in this way in 2002 when the Alliance Party fractured into two over the issue of supporting the post-9/11 invasion of Afghanistan.

Because neither grouping wanted to leave Parliament, they were forced to pretend they remained one united party even as Jim Anderton set about creating his own new one outside of it.

The opposition’s reaction to this charade was then cited by Helen Clark as a reason for holding a snap election in 2002. So rather than ensuring parliamentary stability, the anti-party hopping law actually contributed to an early end to its term.

A good reminder of the farce it was.

Second, the one occasion on which the original party-hopping law was applied – against Donna Awatere Huata – it resulted in proceedings that went all the way to the Supreme Court. It concluded that where an MP ceased to be a member of a party, that fact in and of itself justified the party leader having the MP removed from Parliament.

In other words, the Supreme Court collapsed the right of an MP to remain in Parliament into the right of a person to be a member of a particular party. If a party chooses to use its own internal rules to expel an MP from the party, that action thereby enables the party leader to get the MP kicked out of Parliament altogether.

And that is too much power for party leaders. We’ve seen Peters abuse his role as leader before such as when he suspended Brendan Horan from the caucus on the basis of allegations. There was no consultation with caucus or board – just fiat from Winston.

This proposed law change will allow party leaders to expel MPs from Parliament. I’m against it.

Select Committee membership

The last Standing Orders review stated:

We propose instead that the Business Committee adopt a target of 96 seats across the 12 subject select committees. …

In order to ensure the seats are distributed proportionally, we recommend that at the start of each Parliament the Clerk of the House calculate each party’s proportional allocation of the 96 seats based on its seats in the House and using the Saint-Laguë method of proportionality—as used in our electoral system—and inform parties of their allocations as soon as practicable. The Business Committee can then negotiate and agree upon any changes to the overall number of seats and the associated impact on proportionality.

So what is the proportional allocation of the recommended 96 seats:

  • National 45
  • Labour 37
  • NZ First 7
  • Greens 6
  • ACT 1

It will be very interesting to see how many select committees the Government gets a majority on.

More child cancer families under attack

The Herald reports:

A public health group wants the Southern District Health Board to block Ronald McDonald House from setting up in the new Dunedin Hospital.

Yesterday, Ronald McDonald House Charities said it was keen to set up a house in the rebuilt hospital.

Public Health Association Otago-Southland branch chairwoman Mary-Ann McKibben said Southern should follow Counties Manukau and avoid links with the fast-food giant.

They really are fanatical aren’t they.

Dunedin mother Sheryl Cawte was dismayed by the stance taken by public health advocates.

“[Ronald McDonald House] is one of the greatest services that we have in terms of helping families be with loved ones during usually pretty extreme medical situations.

“Our outcomes for our daughter would have been a very different situation for us if we did not have that.”

She stayed at Ronald McDonald House last year when her year-old daughter, Mavis, had open-heart surgery at Auckland’s Starship Hospital.

“It really alleviates that stress of where you would stay in another city.”

She believed the relationship between the fast-food giant and the charity was misunderstood.

“While people think about McDonald’s as this fast-food chain, the Ronald McDonald house is something way beyond that.”

There can be few things harder than having your child in hospital with cancer or other major problems. The Ronald McDonald houses make a huge huge difference to those families but the puritans want them closed down.

Small businesses fearful

One News reports:

Under the coalition deal in April next year the minimum wage will go up by seventy-five-cents to $16.50 an hour, by April 2021 people on the minimum wage will get $20 an hour.

A small business owner in Nelson is worried the rise in wages will mean they have to raise prices and possibly let staff go.

“It’ll always go back onto the consumer, so our prices will have to go up, so if we have clients we have clients, if we don’t we don’t,” cleaning company owner Sarah Stewart told 1 NEWS.

The Prime Minister-elect is promising to look at models in places like Australia that offer tax breaks to small businesses to try and offset the cost.

Almost no-one in Labour has even worked in the private sector so they don’t understand that legislated increases in costs means employers may go under, or reduce staff.

Bastardising the tax code is not an answer either. However reducing the corporate tax rate would help.

Unions want 8% annual pay rises

The Herald reports:

Reid added that the era of 2 per cent a year wage offers was over and employers would need to be looking at annual increases of about 8 per cent to stay at or ahead of minimum wage rises.

And if employers don’t agree they’ll be forced into national awards!

Green’s can’t pay their bills

Newshub reports:

The Green Party may have secured a number of ministerial roles in the new Parliament with Labour and NZ First, but they’re struggling to pay their campaign bills.

It was a heated election campaign, which saw polling numbers rise and plummet over the course of the months, and co-leader Metiria Turei resign in the wake of revealing she had previously defrauded Work and Income NZ.

And while it had a good result in the end, securing eight seats, it came at a high cost.

Party leader James Shaw confirmed the financial struggles in an email sent to all Green Party members, saying despite fundraising, they’re still trying to pay off campaign bills and ongoing administration cots.

“We have already trimmed any excess expenses and with fewer MPs to pay tithes into the Party coffers, we are experiencing a significant shortfall,” he said.

“If each person receiving this email donates $100 we would be in the clear.

Given time it will be the country that can’t pay its bills, not just the Green Party.

Assuming the Greens have at least 10,000 people on their e-mail list, it looks like their debts are quite large.

English staying

Stuff reports:

National leader and outgoing Prime Minister Bill English has announced he will stay on as leader through the next election.

English was re-elected unopposed as leader by his caucus on Tuesday.

He committed to staying on as the opposition leader – a position he has held before – for at least the next three years.

This is excellent news for National. Labour’s biggest vulnerability will be on economic management and there is no one else in National who can match the credibility English has in this area.

The largest ever Executive

An executive of 31 is the largest ever in the history of New Zealand.

Almost every Government MP who didn’t enter Parliament at this election has ended up in the Executive.

Four of the six existing Green MPs are in the Executive and the other two are Whips.

Five out of seven existing NZ First MPs are in the Executive.

22 out of 28 existing Labour MPs are in the Executive and three of the remaining six will be Speakers. Two will be Whips so just one misses out!

Strengths and Weaknesses of the new Ministry

I’m not going to comment on all 31 Ministers and PUSes but will cover some of them.

Grant Robertson, Finance, Sports: Grant’s performance will be key to the Government. If he can’t keep spending under control, then Labour will have real problems. He is lucky the economy is so strong at the moment so 2018 Budget should be fine, but 2019 may be harder.

Phil Twyford, Housing, Transport: If Twyford keeps his pledge to get rid of the Auckland urban boundary, he’ll be thanked by everyone.

Chris Hipkins, Education, State Services, Leader of the House: A good move to have Hipkins responsible for the entire education portfolio, rather than have Tertiary separate. Having him Minister of State Services may be challenging as he is a former political advisor.

Andrew Little, Justice, Courts, SIS/GCSB, Treaty Negotiations, Pike River: Huge workload. Should be a sound Minister in these areas. Will strike problems though if he proceeds with policy to make people accused of rape prove they are innocent.

David Clark, Health: Will be a test of him. Cost pressures are every increasing and more money does not always mean better services.

David Parker, Attorney-General, Economic Development, Environment, Trade: Should be a strong performer

Clare Curran, Broadcasting, Communications, Digital: Curran often picks fights with media, so having her in Broadcasting could prove dangerous. But a good background for the new digital portfolio.

National pinged for $600,000

Ouch. The High Court has ruled:

  • The Court found Eminem Esque was a copy of Lose Yourself for three reasons.
  • The Court found the National Party committed three restricted acts amounting to copyright infringement.
  • The Court found Eight Mile Style is entitled to damages on a “user principle” basis in the sum of NZ$600,000, with interest, from 28 June 2014.
  • Although copyright infringement did occur, the National Party’s actions were taken after receiving professional, commercial and media advice and were not reckless or contumelious of the rights of the copyright owner. No additional damages are awarded.

National will now seek to recover these damages from their advisers and/or the studio they purchased Eminem Esque from. That will be a further court battle.

The Labour/NZ First/Green Ministry

The Executive has 31 members – the largest ever in New Zealand’s history. Everyone gets a job!

The Cabinet

  1. Jacinda Ardern, PM, Arts, Security & Intelligence, Child Poverty Reduction
  2. Winston Peters, Deputy PM, Foreign, SOEs, Racing
  3. Kelvin Davis, Crown/Maori Relations, Corrections, Tourism
  4. Grant Robertson, Finance, Sports
  5. Phil Twyford, Housing, Transport
  6. Megan Woods, Energy, Christchurch, Research, EQC
  7. Chris Hipkins, Education, State Services, Leader of the House
  8. Andrew Little, Justice, Courts, SIS/GCSB, Treaty Negotiations, Pike River
  9. Carmel Sepuloni, Social Development, Disability Issues
  10. David Clark, Health
  11. David Parker, Attorney-General, Economic Development, Environment, Trade
  12. Nanaia Mahuta, Maori Development, Local Government
  13. Stuart Nash, Police, Fisheries, Revenue, Small Business
  14. Iain Lees-Galloway, Workplace Safety, Immigration, ACC
  15. Jenny Salesa, Building, Ethnic
  16. Damian O’Connor, Agriculture, Biosecurity, Food Safety, Rural
  17. Clare Curran, Broadcasting, Communications, Digital
  18. Ron Mark, Defence, Veterans
  19. Tracey Martin, Children, Internal Affairs, Seniors
  20. Shane Jones, Forestry, Infrastructure, Regional Economic Development
    Outside Cabinet
  21. Kris Faafoi, Civil Defence
  22. Peeni Henare, Voluntary Sector, Whanua Ora, Youth
  23. Willie Jackson, Employment
  24. Aupito William Sio, Pacific
  25. Meka Whaitiri, Customs
  26. James Shaw, Climate Change, Statistics
  27. Julie-Anne Genter, Women
  28. Eugenie Sage, Conservation, Land Information
    Under-Secretaries
  29. Michael Wood, PUS for Ethnic Communities
  30. Fletcher Tabuteau, PUS for Foreign Affairs and Regional Development
  31. Jan Logie, PUS for Domestic and Sexual Violence Issues

Analysis of 2017 election results